On
January 20, 2016, the Tax Foundation released its State-Local Tax
Burden Rankings FY 2012 study, co-authored by Liz Malm and Gerald Prante.
The rankings show the average state and local tax burden as a percentage of
state income – with the No. 1 ranking indicating the state with the highest
state and local tax burden as a share of state income and No. 50 indicating the
state with the lowest tax burden. New York ranks No. 1 with a 12.7% state and
local tax burden and Alaska ranks No. 50 with 6.5%.
Unfortunately,
Maryland ranks No. 7 with a 10.9% state and local tax burden. The 2012 data are
the most recent figures available from the Census Bureau, the Bureau of
Economic Analysis, and the other sources used by the study’s authors. While it
is only conjecture at this point, based on the significant tax hikes
implemented after 2012 during Governor Martin O’Malley’s tenure, it would not
be surprising if Maryland’s tax burden ranking is even higher when the next
similar study is published.
This
high ranking (and the relatively high tax burden it signifies) is certainly relevant
as the General Assembly begins considering Governor Larry Hogan’s
budget and tax proposals. For Fiscal Year 2017, Governor Hogan has proposed
an operating budget of $17.1 billion, with approximately $480 million in tax
and fee relief over the next five years. Given Maryland’s ranking in the Tax
Foundation’s latest study (and several others as well) as a high tax state, the
modest tax relief proposed by Governor Hogan is welcome. Considering that the
$480 million reduction is spread over five years, it is difficult to argue that
the tax relief proposal is anything but modest. (From an economic perspective,
fees, such as those businesses pay for permits that Governor Hogan proposes to
reduce, have the same effect as taxes.)
In
considering Maryland’s tax burden, and Governor Hogan’s tax relief proposal, it
is also relevant to have in mind Maryland’s position vis-à-vis its neighboring
states. Significantly, Maryland is the highest ranked among its neighbors. Pennsylvania
(15th; 10.2%), Delaware (16th; 10.2%), West Virginia (18th;
9.8%), and Virginia (25th; 9.3%) all have lower tax burdens as a share
of state income. To be sure, the differences among the states are not huge, but
they may be large enough to affect the behavior of individual citizens and
businesses as they make decisions concerning where to locate, how much to
invest in new enterprises, whether to add additional employees, and the like.
Maryland
has a lot more work to do to ensure that its long-term economic well-being is
secure. For one thing, it needs to improve its business climate by engaging in
meaningful regulatory reform. On this score, see this new Perspectives from FSF Scholars by Randolph May and Michael Horney titled
“Achieving Efficient Government and Regulatory Reform
in Maryland.” With the appointment
of his Regulatory Reform Commission and the issuance of its first report
discussed in our Perspectives, Governor Hogan has made a good start. Our paper contains some
additional regulatory reform proposals.
Likewise, Governor
Hogan’s budget, with its proposed $480 million in tax relief, is another positive
step, albeit a fairly modest one, in the right direction. There is no reason
for Marylanders to take pride in having the seventh highest tax burden in the
nation as a percentage of state income.