Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Google's Discriminating Goggles

Did you see the December 8 Wall Street Journal article about Google's new search engine products? One of the Web giant's new products, called Google Goggles, caught my eye because it appears to be another example of a discriminatory (read: non-neutral) Google Internet offering.

Recall the minor Googlegate that erupted in October when it was revealed that Google's Internet telephone service, Google Voice, discriminated against certain high-cost rural locations by refusing to deliver traffic to those locations. The FCC ultimately sent Google a series of questions inquiring about the nature of its phone service and the justification for the discrimination. You can read about this controversy in my earlier post, Google: Phone Giant or Internet Giant?

Now, according to the December 8 WSJ article, one of the new services the dominant search engine is banking on is Google Goggles, which allows Google users to pull up information about a landmark or a product by taking a picture from a cellphone instead of typing in a query. The WSJ reports that the "service is only available currently for cellphones running versions of Google's Android software." In other words, if you want to use this cool new Internet service, you can't do so with your iPhone or other phones with non-Google operating systems. Or, in still other words sounding in FCC-speak, Google Goggles is offered on a discriminatory basis that favors devices using Google's operating system in a way that violate net neutrality principles.

Now I understand that Google's position will be that this has little to do with net neutrality because the Goggles offering is an "information" rather than a "telecommunications" service, or an "edge" service rather than one at the "core" of the network. But as I explained in Google: Phone Giant or Internet Giant?, this twenty-year old regulatory distinction is increasingly difficult, if not impossible, to maintain in today's digital age, at least not without imposing substantial consumer welfare costs that outweigh any consumer benefits. Under a net neutrality rule that prohibits discrimination, there will be constant, never-ending litigation concerning the not-so-bright line to be drawn between services at the core and at the edge of the Internet. Apart from the direct litigation costs, the intangible costs imposed by the uncertainty of not knowing what the regulators ultimately will do are likely to be great. Investment and innovation do not thrive in the face of such regulatory uncertainty and instability.

It may be that Google, exercising its increasing and highly visible political muscle, will itself be able to wriggle out from under the neutrality strictures. Indeed, the FCC's net neutrality rulemaking proposal appears going in to exempt "application" providers from the neutrality mandates, while focusing solely on Internet service providers.

I almost wrote next: "Well, more power to Google" for, thus far, avoiding FCC regulation. But in light of Google's dominant position in the web search and adjacent markets, and the way it is exercising its political muscle pushing for neutrality mandates that would entrench its own business models, I don't really want to wish "more power to Google." What I wish is that Google would realize that the "government-as-enforcer-of-Internet-neutrality-game" is a dangerous one, even for itself. Because once the government starts regulating any part of the Internet ecosystem, the necessarily blurry regulatory lines among Internet participants can be used as a sword turned any which way.

Having said all this, please do not mistake my bottom line, which I have stated in this space many times: I do not advocate subjecting Google to the FCC's outstretched regulatory arms, even though Google is doing everything it can to ensure that Internet service providers' freedom to innovate and develop new business models is constrained – or neutered, if you will. And my position would be the same even if the FCC were to decide – wrongly – to impose net neutrality regulations on ISPs.

I prefer to stand, consistently, on the fundamental principle that in today's competitive and technologically dynamic broadband Internet environment, neither Google, no matter its increasing Web dominance, nor the ISPs, should be regulated by the FCC in a fashion akin to last century's telephone common carriers, which was the same as the 19th Century's railroads.


Tuesday, December 01, 2009

An A+ for Careful Targeting

The announcement by the National Cable & Telecommunications Association that is initiating what it calls its "Adoption Plus (A+)" program to increase digital literacy and broadband adoption for millions of low-income middle school students is welcome news. The two-year A+ pilot program combines digital literacy training with discounted home computers and discounted broadband service for qualifying low-income households. The details of the program are here in the NCTA press release.

The pilot program is called a public-private partnership because the federal government may choose to provide additional subsidies (presumably with already appropriated federal stimulus funds) for further discounts off of the price of the computers and school districts will be involved in implementing the digital literacy training. The federal government is also going to assess the effectiveness of the pilot program. NCTA says the value of the discounted broadband services provided by its participating member cable operators could reach $572 million over two years, depending on the extent of the low-income household participation.

It is always possible that the execution won't match the announcement's promise, at least in full. Nevertheless, NCTA should be commended for devising a carefully targeted program likely to have a positive impact. The focus on low-income households without computers targets assistance to a demographic group that lags in broadband adoption.

(The NCTA press release states the proposal is the product of discussions with FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski and Omnibus Broadband Initiative Executive Director Blair Levin, and that it was developed with their "encouragement." Assuming, as I do without any indications to the contrary, that the "encouragement" to which NCTA refers did not cross the line and become coercive – always a legitimate concern when a regulator encourages a regulated party to undertake a voluntary action – then these FCC officials deserve credit too.)

There is a lesson in design here too for the FCC. As my colleague Deborah Tate, FSF's Distinguished Adjunct Senior Fellow, proposed in August in a commentary piece, "the Lifeline/Linkup programs, which thus far have been somewhat underutilized, could be expanded to provide discounts for installation and monthly charges for today's broadband services just as they have for old-fashioned telephone services." In other words, the way to address universal service is by careful targeting of subsidies, not by making available broad subsidies in an unfocused manner that necessarily is wasteful of scarce resources.

The fact of the matter, as I have written many, many times in this space over the last several years, is that the FCC has been derelict in its responsibilities by not having done more to reform the broken universal service regime. With the universal service tax on every interstate and international telephone call reportedly set to jump from 12% to 14% in the first quarter of next year, it is imperative that the FCC – and Congress for that matter – face up to the responsibility to reform a system designed for a bygone era. The already bloated existing regime should not be expanded in an unfocused manner generally to include broadband services. Rather, as former Commissioner Tate has suggested, the FCC should alter the Lifeline/Linkup programs to allow subsidies for qualified low income households.

Cable's A+ pilot program, with its careful targeting of private resources, provides a good template for the way any complementary federal subsidy programs should be designed.


 


 


 

Monday, November 23, 2009

Thanksgiving 2009 -- "Free Markets and Free Speech"

With Thanksgiving 2009 upon us, in the last several days I have been reflecting upon its meaning to me this year, and relating this meaning to the Free State Foundation's work, where we proclaim our mission to promote free market, limited government, and rule of law principles.

Of course, there are many ways we Americans think about Thanksgiving, including conjuring up our favorite cranberry sauce or stuffing, or deciding which team we're rooting for in the traditional Thanksgiving Day football games. Not to mention which Black Friday sales will draw us out of bed pre-dawn on Friday morning.

But I have no doubt that, aside from enjoying the turkey, the football games, and the shopping sprees, most Americans, and especially those who are more recent arrivals to our shores, marvel at the sheer abundance that prevails in America as we approach the end of 2009. And, even amidst the more difficult economic times, I have no doubt that, although not always consciously, and at times perhaps even grudgingly, most Americans recognize, and are thankful for, that abundance -- and for the success of the American experiment in democratic capitalism that has made such abundance possible.

The success of this experiment depends at its core on the protection of individual liberty – that is, the preservation of sufficient freedom from government interference and control that individuals and businesses can nurture the entrepreneurial spirit that fosters the drive for self-betterment, the willingness to take risks on new ideas and to innovate, and the willingness to invest capital in new businesses.

With the twentieth anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall earlier this month, we were reminded, but perhaps not often enough, of President Reagan's famous June 1987 injunction: "Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall!" Later in his Berlin speech, President Reagan proclaimed: "This wall cannot withstand freedom."

On this Thanksgiving, Reagan's freedom cry in Berlin called to mind for me that part of his January 1989 Oval Office Farewell Address in which, for the last time, he invoked John Winthrop's "shining city upon the hill" image. Here is what Reagan said:

"And that's about all I have to say tonight. Except for one thing. The past few days when I've been at that window upstairs, I've thought a bit of the "shining city upon a hill." The phrase comes from John Winthrop, who wrote it to describe the America he imagined. What he imagined was important because he was an early Pilgrim, an early freedom man. He journeyed here on what today we'd call a little wooden boat; and like the other Pilgrims, he was looking for a home that would be free. I've spoken of the shining city all my political life, but I don't know if I ever quite communicated what I saw when I said it. But in my mind it was a tall proud city built on rocks stronger than oceans, wind-swept, God-blessed, and teeming with people of all kinds living in harmony and peace, a city with free ports that hummed with commerce and creativity, and if there had to be city walls, the walls had doors and the doors were open to anyone with the will and the heart to get here. That's how I saw it, and see it still."

"An early Pilgrim. An early freedom man."

The Pilgrims didn't set sail seeking the prospect of more government control over the way they lived their lives, and practiced their beliefs. They were seeking less.

In that same farewell address, President Reagan also proclaimed:

"Countries across the globe are turning to free markets and free speech and turning away from the ideologies of the past. For them, the great rediscovery of the 1980s has been that, lo and behold, the moral way of government is the practical way of government: Democracy, the profoundly good, is also profoundly productive."

"Free markets and free speech."

This is not the time to rehearse the Free State Foundation's voluminous scholarly position papers, commentaries, blogs, event transcripts, and the like. They are available on the FSF website for the taking. But if America is to continue to be that "shining city on the hill," it is always a proper time – and, yes, Thanksgiving, is a particularly proper time – to reflect upon the importance of preserving free markets and free speech. For without free markets and free speech, America would not enjoy the abundance that we do today.

Much of the work we do at the Free State Foundation involves the ongoing fight to preserve free markets and free speech. It happens this is especially true with respect to our work in the communications law and policy realm, where, for example, new proposals for government regulation of the Internet threaten both. Indeed, as I have explained here, here, and here, proponents of the benign-sounding Internet regulatory regime called "net neutrality" turn the First Amendment on its head, arguing we have more to fear from private Internet providers censoring speech than from the government enforcing its own brand of content neutrality. History and our founding principles belie this notion. Our liberty is more secure when the promotion of "fairness" and "non-discrimination" in our media resides in the hands of citizens exercising choice in the competitive marketplace rather than in the hands of the government as enforcer.

For now, it is enough to reflect and be thankful. And I am especially grateful for the support of so many friends of FSF. There will be time enough to carry on the battles for free market, limited government, and rule of law principles.

In the meantime, and for now, Happy Thanksgiving to all!

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

The November 12 IPI Telecom Conference

My friends at the Institute for Policy Innovation have put together an excellent conference, "Unlocking the Future of Communications," for November 12 in Washington, DC. FCC Commissioner Robert McDowell is a keynoter, heading a lineup of notable speakers.

Communications policymaking is entering a crucial phase in the next 12-18 months. If you're interested in learning about the issues from a cast of knowledgeable experts, I commend to you the IPI conference. Details here.

Monday, November 09, 2009

The Computer Inquiries – Then and Now

There is much with which I agree in the Oct. 29 post, "43 Years of Internet Policy" by the FCC's Bob Cannon. And because I was happily ensconced at the FCC as Associate General Counsel at the time the Second Computer Inquiry decision was developed, and played at least some role in its development, I get somewhat nostalgic when the Computer Inquiries are invoked. I might take issue with the description of the Computer Inquiries proceedings as "wildly successful" in light of the generally lengthy delays experienced in modifying the policies once they became outdated. But I have no problem in agreeing they were successful in helping to achieve an important public policy objective – encouraging the development of nascent online services – at a particular time in history, when AT&T and then the divested Bell Companies exercised dominant market power.

But just because an FCC policy was successful when adopted does not mean that it should be carried forward for all time. Indeed, Mr. Cannon's post itself makes clear that the then-market power exercised by the Bell Companies was a central premise underlying the adoption of the Computer Inquiry orders. ("The FCC wanted to ensure that carriers were offering the telecommunications services necessary in order for computer services to thrive and that the telecommunications networks could not use their market power to engage in anti-competitive behavior.") I can testify from my own experience – without fear of contradiction – that the Bell Companies' dominant market power was central the Commission's understanding of the desirability of developing safeguards to prevent the carriers from acting anti-competitively in a way that would injure the emerging online services. I agree the Computer Inquiries' separation of basic and enhanced services, and the implementation of safeguards, worked…for a considerable amount of time. And the Commission can take pride in this success.

But it is a mistake of the highest order to assume that a regulatory policy devised for a certain time in a particular environment is appropriate three decades later in a radically different environment. The fact of the matter is that, in today's broadband environment, the providers no longer exercise the dominant market power that concerned the Commission at the time of the Computer Inquiries. Indeed, Mr. Cannon's post, rightly, keeps referring to the "telecommunications networks" of the time. Now, as a result of findings made by the FCC beginning in 2002 concerning the competitive nature of the marketplace, the broadband providers that pro-regulatory zealots want to put under the yoke of common carrier regulation are no longer even classified as "telecommunications" providers. Rather, in light of the integration of communications and data processing functionality and marketplace changes, they are classified as information services providers.

Even in the 1980s marketplace conditions had begun to change sufficiently, along with the agency's understanding of the costs to consumers of strict separation of basic and enhanced services, that the FCC replaced the structural separation requirements of Computer II with the non-structural safeguards of Computer III. Even a casual skimming of the massive Computer III record will show this relaxation of regulation had mostly to do with the Commission's understanding that the costs of strict separation outweighed the benefits.

Well, it almost 2010. We can argue if you like about exactly how competitive the broadband marketplace is today. I'll grant it is not now and never will be the perfectly-competitive wheat marketplace that I read about in my Econ-101 text. But it certainly is no longer similar to the communications marketplace in which the Bell Companies once exercised dominant market power – the marketplace upon which the Computer Inquiries decisions were premised. Today's broadband Internet marketplace -- with wireline, cable, satellite, and wireless providers all competing, even if not with totally substitutable services – simply is much more competitive. In today's dynamic Internet environment, the costs to consumers of imposing separation requirements of the Computer Inquiries-variety greatly outweigh the benefits of such regulation that seeks to maintain a "bright line" separation between "telecom" and "information" services. Anyone pretending otherwise is living in the past, and conjuring up a black-telephone handset and 56K modem dial-up communications world that, thankfully, no longer exists.

FCC Keeps its Hands Off Handset Exclusivity, For Now…

The Federal Communications Commission has just approved the transfer of spectrum licenses as part of the AT&T-Centennial merger. This finality is welcome news, not the least reason being the finality itself. As I blogged previously, it was a year ago this month that the first applications for this merger were first filed at the FCC. To its credit, the FCC also declined to impose unwarranted restraints on the merging parties' business dealings with handset manufacturers.

In sum, the FCC found that "competitive harm is unlikely in most of the overlap markets" that will result from the merger "primarily because multiple other service providers in these markets would be an effective competitive constraint on the behavior of the merged entity." However, consistent with the U.S. Department of Justice's (DOJ) requirement that Centennial divest its wireless operations in seven local areas, the FCC likewise concluded that “absent a remedy, competitive harms would likely result." In addition to its mirroring of the DOJ's divestiture requirement for those areas, the FCC also is imposing a number of "voluntary commitments" as conditions of FCC approval.

Significantly, the FCC rejected calls to intrude on existing business practices involving wireless carriers and handset manufacturers. It found that proposals for prohibiting exclusive handset arrangements "are not narrowly tailored to prevent a transaction-specific harm." Rather, the FCC concluded that the concerns animating such calls for handset exclusivity prohibition "apply broadly across the industry and are more appropriate for a Commission proceeding where all interested industry parties have an opportunity to file comments." Without addressing the merits of handset exclusivity prohibition or even tipping its hand on the matter, the FCC chose to address the issue another day.

Wisely, the FCC avoided hasty imposition of backdoor regulation. Regardless of what one thinks of handset exclusivity agreements or prohibition of such agreements as a general matter, a selective imposition of such regulation hardly makes for fair public policy. For starters, handset exclusivity agreements are an industry-wide phenomena, not something limited to the carriers in this particular merger. Imposing such regulation only on one carrier is not a neutral, even-handed approach.

Moreover, it hardly makes for fair administrative practice to use a merger between two carriers to regulate business relationships between a carrier and manufacturers. Some recent analyses suggest that handset exclusivity agreements owe more to the hard bargaining of handset manufacturers than carriers. As Robert Hahn and Hal Singer have written, "[h]andset makers seek exclusive agreements with carriers…to share the enormous risk associated with launching a new device, to align the incentives of the carrier with the handset maker, and to ensure network quality." Manufacturers want carriers to commit to providing customers with technical support, to market their devices, and to uphold their brand name's good will. That being the case, a merger review proceeding is particularly inapposite for imposing new regulations that would have sweeping effects on a different sector of the marketplace.

The merger review process shouldn't be the FCC's incubator for experimental policies or pet projects for which it doesn’t have rules for or which it otherwise has no authority to impose. For a decade FSF President Randolph May has been urging the agency to reform its merger review process. Here's one of his pieces, "Any Volunteers," from March 2000.

Unfortunately, the FCC's recent track record does include some special pleading regulation through selective merger condition requirements. As I mentioned in a prior post, the FCC imposed network non-discrimination requirements as a condition for approving the AT&T-BellSouth merger. Like in many other contexts, the FCC's "public interest" standards for merger review are much more fuzzy than the market power analysis that the DOJ is limited to under the Clayton Act. Earlier this year, the FCC solicited public comments on how to reform its merger review process. Absent any pending reforms stemming from that proceeding, the FCC's modest self- restraint in this merger review makes good sense.

Thursday, November 05, 2009

More on "The Faulty Berkman Report"

In my recent FSF Perspectives piece, "The Faulty Berkman Report: The Fallacy of Overlooking Secondary Consequences," I challenge the Berkman Report’s myopic focus on the touted benefits of a public policy to one segment of beneficiaries to the exclusion of the broader costs associated with that policy. The Report's retelling of the Federal Communications Commission's (FCC) prior attempts to impose "open access" or "forced access" policy through unbundling regulations on incumbent wireline providers is a highly selective and thereby misleading account. It fails to mention the adverse infrastructure investment incentives of mandated access policies that effectively require incumbents to subsidize facilities to be used by their competitors. And the Report nowhere even mentions the telecom disinvestment trends, discussed in my Perspectives, that plagued the industry until the courts and the FCC begun to roll back unbundling regulations.

One aspect of the Report that I left unaddressed was its insistence that the FCC's unbundling regulatory regime failure was attributable in large part to the incumbents' lobby and litigation efforts, and ultimately to the courts' disagreement with FCC policy judgment. The Report asserted that the courts failed by not according proper discretion to regulatory experts. Urging a force-fit of extensive broadband regulatory regimes used by several foreign social democracies on the American broadband marketplace, the Report suggested that the U.S. give more "engaged" regulators greater "professionalism, independence, and power" in order to impose a next generation set of "open access" mandates on broadband network providers.

This argument about the woes of the FCC's unbundling regulations oversimplifies to the point of being totally unhelpful. To say that the courts simply disagreed with the FCC's policy is misleading. Moreover, the Report's trumpeting of regulators' independence and power in foreign nations as an antidote simply doesn’t translate in the U.S. government institutional setting.

The reality is that the FCC and other federal agencies receive a considerable degree of deference from U.S. courts under Administrative Procedures Act and the "Chevron doctrine." Under the former, courts typically decline to second-guess agency judgments or "expertise" on public policy questions. And under the latter, courts routinely acquiesce to agencies' interpretations of ambiguous statutory language unless the interpretation is clearly impermissible.

However, the independence of U.S. courts means that there are constitutional and statutory limits to agency discretion. (Such judicial independence is often lacking in foreign systems of parliamentary supremacy.) Contrary to the Report's claims about judicial disagreement with agency policy judgment, it was the FCC's own contravention of legal limits through its improper sub-delegation of federal agency authority to state regulators and the FCC's implausible readings of the terms of the Telecommunications Act of 1996 that led to judicial invalidation of many of the FCC's unbundling rules. To be sure, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia forthrightly recognized that "[e]ach unbundling of an element imposes costs of its own, spreading disincentive to invest in innovation and creating complex issues of managing shared facilities." But the Court’s observation about the economic drawbacks to the unbundling rules was made in a larger context. The Court was attempting to ascertain whether an expansive unbundling policy with such obvious infrastructure investment disincentives was what Congress conceivably had in mind in passing the Act.

Moreover, Courts are not likely to unilaterally drop existing legal limits on arbitrary and capricious decision making by federal agencies on the grounds that even greater bureaucratic power and independence should alleviate agency capture concerns. Perhaps the Report seeks to trumpet a best-of-all-possible-worlds policy in its implicit calls for judicial retreat from review of any future agency "open access" regulations. But in this world, federal agencies must make do with the constitutional and statutory slack they have been given. In other words, they must act in accord with the rule of law.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Kudos for Collegiality

I have been meaning to take note of the degree of collegiality among the five commissioners that seemed to prevail at the FCC's meeting last week at which the agency adopted its net neutrality rulemaking. It was evident from watching the Commission meeting that all the commissioners, even the two who disagreed with the NPRM's thrust, gave Chairman Julius Genachowski high marks thus far for his efforts to create a collegial working environment, including his efforts with respect to formulating the net neutrality rulemaking.

Regular readers of this space, or even irregular ones, know that I disagree – and fairly strongly so – with the notion that the Commission needs to adopt new net neutrality mandates, including one that prohibits "discrimination." The course upon which the Commission is embarking has the potential to turn the nation's broadband providers – whether wireline, cable, satellite, or wireless – into old-fashioned public utilities. Not what we need now.

That said, as the Commission moves forward in the net neutrality proceeding, and others as well, it is far better that, to the extent possible, the five commissioners operate in a collegial environment in which they feel free comfortably to express divergent opinions and exchange new ideas. Such a collegial environment is more likely to lead to sounder decisionmaking than a strained one. A collegial environment may lead the five commissioners to find common ground in some instances when there seems to be none – although in many cases, as exemplified by the partial dissents of Commissioners Robert McDowell and Meredith Baker in the net neutrality rulemaking, it is important to stand on principle where fundamental differences exists.

It is still early in his chairmanship, and things could change. And I know already that, as a matter of philosophical principle and policy perspective, I will disagree with Chairman Genachowski's conclusions on many issues. Nevertheless, judging from the remarks of his fellow commissioners at last week's meeting and from what I hear otherwise, he deserves kudos for trying to promote a collegial environment in the setting of a multimember body in which collegiality is an important value. On this score, he has my congratulations and best wishes as well.

Monday, October 19, 2009

No "Public Option" for the Internet

Whether or not there will be some new form of "public option" government-run or managed health provider as part of health care reform remains up in the air. But what ought not to be up in the air is the notion that the nation needs some new form of "public option" government-run or managed Internet. In a largely deregulatory competitive environment, the nation has made too much progress in the past several years in building out high-speed broadband Internet networks to now adopt an intrusive Internet regulatory regime that could threaten further advances.

The FCC is poised to consider initiating a new rulemaking this Thursday that, in one form or another, would impose new net neutrality mandates. I understand that any new regulations adopted, in theory, may be more or less intrusive. Indeed, I appreciate that FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski declared in his Brookings Institution speech that the FCC "will do as much as we need to do, and no more, to ensure that the Internet remains an unfettered platform for competition, creativity, and entrepreneurial activity."

With respect, this statement of professed regulatory modesty – to get the regulation "just right" on an ongoing basis – is inconsistent with normal bureaucratic imperatives at work once a prescriptive regulation is adopted. The notion that the Commission will get the Internet regulation just right on an ongoing basis indicates a regulatory immodesty inappropriate in such a technologically dynamic market segment.

Now, Chairman Genachowski may, in his own mind, lean toward a less intrusive public option for net neutrality regulation than other advocates. But the most rabid net neutrality supporters have no such leanings. They will continue to press, before and after the adoption of new regulations, for the most rigidly intrusive regime. Indeed, as I pointed out back in August, Robert McChesney, a founder and board member of the Free Press organization, the staunchest net neutrality proponent, recently said the following in an interview with "The Bullet," a publication of the Socialist Project: "What we want to have in the U.S. and in every society is an Internet that is not private property, but a public utility. We want an Internet where you don't have to have a password and that you don't pay a penny to use. It is your right to use the Internet."

Professor McChesney's extreme vision of the public option for the Internet hopefully is not shared by Chairman Genachowski or a Commission majority. But the real point is this: Once the FCC bans all form of "discrimination" by Internet providers, as it apparently proposes to do, it will have taken a significant step in the direction of converting the Internet into McChesney's public utility. The non-discrimination ban at the heart of net neutrality regulation is the same non-discrimination prohibition that is at the core of public utility regulation.

In the last week or so, there has developed a broad array of opposition to the adoption of net neutrality regulation. The opposition comes from unions (CWA and IBEW), the business community (the National Association of Manufacturers and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce), Internet equipment and services suppliers like Cisco, and members of Congress from both sides of the aisle (House Democrats and Republicans, and Senate Republicans).

A perusal of these letters will reveal, at bottom, this fundamental commonality:

· At present, there is little credible evidence that there is any "market failure" problem or existence of abusive consumer practices for which prescriptive government regulation is warranted. The three or four claimed examples of such potential abuses were all addressed absent prescriptive net neutrality regulations. Note that in the quote above, Chairman Genachowski says he wants "to ensure that the Internet remains an unfettered platform for competition." He doesn't say it is not now one.

· Absent a market failure and evidence of marketplace abuses that threaten consumer welfare, preemptive government regulation is likely to stifle incentives for continued investment in broadband networks and innovation in the entire Internet ecosystem.

· Unlike other segments of the economy, even in difficult economic times, just in the last two years the broadband providers have invested over $200 billion of private capital in building out and enhancing their broadband networks, without seeking government guarantees of bailouts.
As the newly-constituted FCC under Chairman Genachowski nears its rulemaking decision, it should adopt a considerably more modest mind-set, one that takes account of both the agency's own past history of regulatory over-reaching and an appreciation of the changing dynamics of today's digital environment.

What the FCC needs at this point, frankly, despite its oft-repeated mantra, echoed by industry, is not more and more data. Unless the agency is going to be making decisions, ordinarily reserved for the private sector, concerning the amount and timing of capital investment, the pace of new innovations and technological roll-outs, projected consumer demand for new services and applications, and the like, it already has more than enough data (which, by the way, becomes outdated very quickly in a dynamic market) to know that there is no need to adopt new Internet regulations.

Until there is a demonstrated market failure, the FCC would be well-served to have uppermost in mind certain regulatory principles and approaches -- cost-benefit analysis, the precautionary principle, the law of unintended consequences, and the laws of the bureaucratic imperative and the slippery slope – all of which should dictate a high degree of regulatory modesty.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Network Freedom, Not Regulation, for Smartphone Apps

Last week, AT&T announced it will allow iPhone users to use Skype and other VoIP applications on AT&T's own 3G wireless network. iPhones users will soon have access to AT&T's competitors' Internet voice applications. What is important to keep in mind about this decision is who made it: the wireless carrier. Decisions about smartphone applications and their wireless network capabilities should be made in the marketplace, not at regulatory agencies.

Some recent studies have highlighted the competitive marketplace for wireless and for wireless smartphones. The FCC itself has recognized the dynamic nature of the wireless marketplace. Since Congress' 1993 deregulatory action, wireless innovation and competition have thrived in a marketplace subjected to only minimal regulatory barriers. There is a ready availability of competing handsets and carriers for consumers to choose from. (Apparently, RIM's BlackBerry Curve has moved past Apple's iPhone as the top-selling consumer smartphone.)

Absent a demonstration of anticompetitive practices by a producer with marker power, marketplace freedom should prevail over new regulatory restraints.

That said, AT&T's decision to allow iPhone users to access VoIP applications using 3G network capabilities hardly "proves" that network neutrality regulation needs to be imposed by the FCC on wireless networks. The competitive state of the wireless marketplace already favors continued marketplace freedom. Strictly speaking then, AT&T's turnabout on iPhone VoIP applications and its 3G network doesn't by itself make the case for marketplace freedom concerning smartphone apps and networks. Rather, AT&T's decision IS the free marketplace.

It was a decision made by a private, competing producer involving trade-off considerations and posing significant economic risks. Misguided calls to impose network neutrality regulations on wireless networks not only ignore the state of competition in wireless, they also ignore the complex technical and financially difficult judgment calls that businesses must routinely make.

A variety of conceivable factors can come into play when a competing marketplace producer makes decisions of this sort. For instance, satisfying iPhone user demand for access to VoIP applications using 3G network capabilities could increase AT&T’s good will, cementing its relationship with existing users and attracting increased numbers of new users. On the other hand, giving iPhone user access to VoIP applications using 3G network capabilities could have the overall effect of subsidizing its VoIP competitors, ultimately resulting in loss of significant business to those competitors. There is the possibility that business lost to VoIP competitors will result in a loss of revenue necessary to cover AT&T's high, up-front sunk costs for both building and maintaining its 3G network, which like all networks, has finite capacity. And loss of revenue makes it less likely that AT&T can subsidize iPhones so that consumers can purchase them for less than $200. Multi-factored business decisions of this kind should not be made by regulatory fiat.

Prior to AT&T's decision to allow iPhone users to access VoIP applications using 3G network capabilities, AT&T already allowed iPhone calls through VoIP applications when users relied on Wi-Fi Internet connections. At some future point, iPhones might also be made capable of tethering with laptops to give the latter devices Internet connectivity. Where the marketplace is as dynamic as the wireless broadband market, these kinds of product and service innovations will work themselves out.

Increased choice is an important element of consumer welfare, but so are incentives for producers to continue making investments to provide increasing choices to consumers in the future. However, the ability of carriers make those kinds of aggressive investments in infrastructure and applications, contingent on revenue recovery through exclusive, innovative new product and service offering arrangements, would be stifled by network neutrality regulations.

Monday, October 12, 2009

Google: Phone Giant or Internet Giant?

Those, like Google, who support net neutrality mandates are fond of referring to some of the broadband providers as "phone giants" or "cable giants." As if Google, with a market capitalization that is essentially the same as AT&T's, twice as large as Verizon's, and three times as large as Comcast's, is anything but an "Internet giant."

But now with the FCC having launched an investigation of Google Voice, we may find out whether Google is a "phone giant" as well as an "Internet giant." If I were Google's senior management, I'd be worried about where all Google's pro-regulatory advocacy is leading and whether, in the end (well, there often is no real "end" when the regulatory process gets started), Google might not have been better off negotiating in the marketplace rather than in the halls of the FCC.

Let's be perfectly candid. What Google principally has been trying to protect the last five years through its net neutering regulatory advocacy is its position, as a true Internet giant, of not paying any more than it currently pays for the use of ISPs' broadband capacity. Indeed, as I pointed out in a post last week, Google concedes, at least implicitly, that once the FCC fixes what it labels the "badly flawed" access charge/intercarrier compensation system it might well be called upon to pay more for its heavy broadband network usage.

Of course, Google has never made fixing the compensation system a top Washington priority because it benefits from the broken system. Instead it has devoted its regulatory resources to maintaining or re-imposing, as the case may be, legacy regulation in the form of "net neutrality."
The strategy Google has pursued calls to mind Sir Walter Scott's line: "Oh! What a tangled web we weave...."


It may be that Google can successfully manage the regulatory process. But the web is certainly getting tangled in a way that ought to cause concern to those, like me, who would prefer to maintain an unregulated Internet ecosystem – one in which even Internet giants like Google remain unregulated. (Note I am not saying that Google or the broadband ISPs should not be subject to the antitrust laws, consumer protection laws, disclosure requirements, or even certain FCC interconnection requirements and the like. I am referring to regulation – aside from whatever poll-tested label is applied – that, like net neutrality, resembles traditional common carrier regulation.)


The entanglement – and confusion – is illustrated by this statement, as reported in the October 13th edition of Communications Daily, from Public Knowledge:

“The FCC’s Wireline Competition Bureau today asked some very legitimate questions about the nature of Google Voice,” Public Knowledge said. “We should be clear that the Commission’s inquiry has nothing to do with issues of an open, non-discriminatory Internet, as AT&T alleged when it brought the issue of Google Voice to the Commission’s attention last month. Neither does it have anything to do with denying service to rural customers, as others have said. It has to do with the clash between traditional telephone services and new technological realities.”

If Google is not a phone giant, but rather an Internet giant, of course the Commission's inquiry has to do with "an open, non-discriminatory Internet" because Google concedes that its voice offering is by invitation only and that it is not open to customers in certain rural areas.

And of course the inquiry has to do, as Google concedes, with denying service to rural customers.

So, these first two assertions by Public Knowledge only serve to obfuscate matters. But the inquiry also has to do, as Public Knowledge says, with the clash between traditional telephone services and new technological realities. Or, as the FCC's inquiry letter puts it: "How does Google believe its various Google Voice services fit within the statutory classifications in the Communications Act of 1934, as amended (the Act) and the Commission’s regulatory classifications (e.g., interconnected VoIP)?"

Or put another way: Under the existing regulatory paradigm – the one Google has been fighting so hard to preserve – is Google a phone giant rather than an Internet giant? If it is a phone giant, will it be regulated the same way AT&T is regulated, or differently? Exactly how differently? And under what rationale?

Here are some fundamental truths:

While Google, Public Knowledge, Free Press, and their allies have been intent on imposing on digital broadband Internet providers the Computer II separation regime developed in 1980 in the analog world, that regime simply doesn't make public policy sense anymore. In today's digital environment, the line between "information services" and "telecommunications" services is necessarily indistinct. And the costs imposed by regulators trying to keep separate the two will outweigh the benefits to consumers. Indeed, even apart from the costs imposed by the constant litigation and regulatory uncertainty created by separation requirements, consumers will be harmed by the loss of the efficiencies that might be gained by integration and by the innovation deterred.

For years I have written about the inevitable blurring of the distinction between information and telecommunications services, and why a regulatory regime based on metaphysical techno-functional constructs no longer makes sense. Here's an early 2004 piece, "The Metaphysics of VoIP," on the point, and here's a law review article. If you wish, you can google many other pieces using the Internet giant's dominant search engine. What is needed is a regime that gets away from reliance for regulatory purposes on techno-functional constructs (see the FCC's inquiry letter) and looks at competition in the marketplace. To some extent, to its credit, the FCC's letter does seek information concerning competitive realities in addition to information about the particular techno-functional constructs of Google's service.

It is true that it would take a rewriting of the Communications Act to move away completely from a regulatory paradigm tied to techno-functional constructs to one that is tied much more closely to competitive marketplace realities. Nevertheless, there is much the FCC, under its existing authority, including its forbearance authority, can and should do to move in that direction. (How about that for an FCC workshop idea?)

The FCC should abandon the notion of imposing net neutrality regulations because, in essence, the definitional problems the agency will confront in trying to distinguish between the "edge" services it wants to protect as unregulated and the "core" services it wants to regulate with a non-discrimination rule are akin to the ones it will now face in trying to figure out how to classify Google Voice. And the agency will face the same definitional difficulties trying to distinguish "reasonable network management" practices from "unreasonable" ones.

In his most recent post on the subject, Google's Rick Whitt again says: "This [dispute about Google voice] is about outdated carrier compensation rules that are fundamentally broken and in need of repair by the FCC." It is about compensation rules. But it is about more than that, of course, because the compensation rules about which Google complains are tied directly to the regulatory distinction between information and telecommunications services that Google steadfastly defends – and to the same distinctions upon which net neutrality regulations ultimately depend.

I am quite certain that Google understands all of this, and, for now, I prefer to remain optimistic that the FCC Chairman and his fellow commissioners will come to understand it as well, if they don't already. When Chairman Genachowski said in his Brookings speech that his proposed net neutrality regulation "is not about government regulation of the Internet," I do not question his good faith. But the imbroglio over Google Voice already has demonstrated that net neutrality-type disputes (is Google discriminating?) inevitably are about Internet regulation, unless you really do consider Google a phone company and not an Internet company.

My hope – I am an optimist – is that before the FCC is forced to go too far down the road of deciding whether Google is a phone giant or an Internet giant, Google concedes that the regulatory distinctions upon which it has relied and upon which it continues to rely are not viable, and that they are not the basis, going-forward, for creating sound public policy for the entire Internet ecosystem. My hope is that Google will decide to shift its Washington-based efforts away from maintaining in place these outdated regulations – and, indeed, away from enacting still new Internet regulations in the form of net neutrality mandates – and towards joining the fight to fix the broken carrier compensation system it regularly decries.

PS-- Take note that I have used "Internet giant" and "phone giant" with my tongue largely in cheek as a reaction against the reflexive and tiresome use of the "giant" label by the net neutrality advocates. I am by no means opposed to large size per se. Indeed, I appreciate that Google's size -- as well as the size of the leading broadband ISPs -- have enabled these companies to invest in building out more broadband capacity and in making the Internet better.

FCC's Slow-Motion Merger Review

As reported in recent news accounts, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) has been dragging its feet in conducting its review of the AT&T-Centennial merger. The FCC is now almost four months past its self-imposed 180-day deadline for such reviews.

Although the propriety of the FCC’s practice has been questioned by some, the FCC engages in merger review pursuant to its authority for approving the transfer of FCC-granted licenses resulting from the completed merger.

AT&T filed its application with the FCC to acquire Centennial--a regional wireless and broadband carrier with more than one million subscribers in six states plus Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands—back on November 21, 2008. The FCC’s 180-day merger review period ended back on June 14, 2009. No date for the conclusion of the review has been set yet by the FCC.

Agency delay is harmful to the merging parties that stand to gain from efficiencies and economies of scale. In a competitive, dynamic market, such delay is also harmful to the consumers who would otherwise benefit from improved services and prices from the merged parties. As the Department of Justice’s Antitrust Division Chief recently stated, “the vast majority of mergers are either procompetitive and enhance consumer welfare or are competitively benign.” If a proposed merger poses real anticompetitive concerns, prompt and decisive agency decision-making gives the merging parties finality and lets them turn their attention elsewhere. Agency delays keep potential merging parties in a state of suspended animation.

Aside from the undesirable economic dislocations, FCC merger review delays have also been the device by which FCC has extracted extra-regulatory “concessions” by merging parties. FSF President Randolph May has called this phenomena “regulation by condition,” with merging parties agreeing to conditions that may have nothing to do with any claimed antitcompetitive effect of the proposed merger. As FSF advisory board member and professor of law Christopher Yoo has written about the precarious position of merging parties subjected to lengthy FCC merger review:

as their need for regulatory approval becomes increasingly urgent, they begin trying to obtain clearance of their merger emphasized by the FCC. Because these conditions are purportedly not the result of agency action, the FCC need not engage in any extended analysis of whether it represents a change in policy or how to integrate the conditions into the larger regulatory scheme.
For instance, in the AT&T-BellSouth merger, FCC approval was obtained at the price of a network neutrality condition based on conjectures about imagined future network discrimination practices. Whereas FCC rules typically arise through the formal APA process that includes public comment and a larger contemplative element, “voluntary” merger conditions are the largely the result of private negotiations made under time-sensitive conditions.

The FCC should only consider imposing merger conditions to address alleged anticompetitive claims raised by a particular proposed merger. A more modest step would be for the FCC to take its 180-day shot clock for merger approval seriously. The AT&T-Centennial merger delay is simply another exhibit pointing to the need for the FCC to engage in self-restraint.

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Google's Discriminating Voice

"We believe it is essential to re-evaluate these existing intercarrier compensation regimes in light of increasing competition and new technologies, such as the Internet and Internet-based services, and commercial mobile radio services (CMRS)… The existing intercarrier compensation rules raise several pressing issues. First, and probably most important, are the opportunities for regulatory arbitrage created by the existing patchwork of intercarrier compensation rules."
– FCC, 2001

"We agree with AT&T that the current carrier compensation scheme is badly flawed, and that the single best answer is for the FCC to take the necessary steps to fix it." – Richard Whitt, Google, September 25, 2009.

The tale behind these two quotes could make for a very long, sad story, or a shorter one. Because I have written much about this before [see here and here for starters], and because those who follow the FCC and its ways will understand the shorter story, I'm going to opt for that version here. And I fear the longer version, rightly, would give the uninitiated even more reason to be discouraged about the FCC's past performance and future prospects for implementing, within the confines of its congressional mandate, economically-sound, pro-competitive communications policies.

The story involves Google Voice, Google's "application" that allows consumers to make telephone calls to some but not all locations from its Web-based platform. Somewhat curiously, the service is "by invitation only." And, significantly, calls to certain locations are blocked so the Google Voice customer can't reach them. In a September 25 posting, Richard Whitt, Google's Washington Telecom and Media Counsel, explains the selective call blocking this way:

"This afternoon AT&T filed a letter with the Federal Communications Commission, alleging that Google Voice is preventing its users from making outbound calls to certain phone numbers with inflated access charges, and asking the Commission to intervene…Local telephone carriers charge long-distance companies for originating and terminating calls to and from their networks. Certain local carriers in rural areas charge AT&T and other long-distance companies especially high rates to connect calls to their networks. Sometimes these local carriers partner and share revenue with adult chat services, conference calling centers, party lines, and others that are able to attract lots of incoming phone calls to their networks….Google Voice's goal is to provide consumers with free or low-cost access to as many advanced communications features as possible. In order to do this, Google Voice does restrict certain outbound calls from our Web platform to these high-priced destinations."

So, Google justifies its call blocking to rural locations on the basis that it objects to paying the "inflated access charges" that AT&T and other carriers must pay under the existing access charge/intercarrier compensation regime. As the quote at the top of this post indicates, Google agrees the compensation regime is "badly flawed." It says, beneficently, the "single best answer" is for the FCC to fix it. But until the FCC does, no doubt Google is perfectly happy to go on discriminating against those callers who wish to call certain rural areas in which certain call centers, adult chat lines, and the like happen to be located.

In short, before it stops blocking calls, Google is waiting for Godot – in this instance, that would be the FCC – to fix an intercarrier compensation regime that has been broken since shortly before Genesis. Remember it was 2001 when the FCC said, in light of increasing competition and new technologies, that it was an essential, pressing matter to fix intercarrier compensation. (It has repeated this admonition over the years at regularly-scheduled intervals.) And recall that in 2001 the FCC explicitly bemoaned the opportunities for arbitrage presented by the existing system that rests upon outmoded techno-functional regulatory and jurisdictional distinctions that ought no longer to dictate policy in today's digital environment.

Now, you might think that I am going to go after Google for the discrimination that appears inherent in the operation of its telephone service, a discrimination apparently not tolerated by AT&T and other providers classified as "telecommunications" carriers rather than "information service" providers. After all, Google is one of the foremost proponents of net neutrality and a non-discrimination mandate, and the way it runs Google Voice appear to run counter to net neutrality principles. But going after Google for hypocrisy regarding its net neutrality posture would be part of the longer story, the one I am not telling here. In any event, I do not favor government-dictated net neutrality mandates, and I don't want to urge that Google be subject to them. I prefer avoiding going any further down the net neutrality regulation road than the FCC already has traveled.

What I want to urge the FCC to do is to devote its energies to really important priorities like fixing the "badly flawed" intercarrier compensation regime instead of initiating a new net neutrality proceeding. The FCC was correct in 2001 when it said fixing intercarrier compensation rules was an essential, pressing matter. Yet it is 2009, and despite taking many rounds of comments amounting to tens of thousands of pages, and several notices to "update" and "refresh" the record, the agency has done nothing.

The FCC's failure to act has impaired sustainable facilities-based competition, retarded new investment, and impeded the development of new technologies. Why has the FCC not acted? Mainly because the agency has lacked the political will – even though it is supposed to be an "expert" agency, not one driven by politics – to change a system in which rural carriers are allowed to charge what Rick Whitt rightly calls "inflated access charges." The FCC's inaction has been an institutional failure of the highest order.

Now, a decade on – truth be told, the FCC started the task in the '90s – the FCC apparently still is not making intercarrier compensation/universal service reform a top priority, even though all knowledgeable communications policymakers and scholars know it should be. Instead, the agency will devote major resources to developing, in an anticipatory rulemaking, new Internet regulations that almost certainly will be overly broad, even though, to date, only a few isolated "neutrality" incidents have occurred and they have been remedied quickly through voluntary action or the through the existing complaint regime.

I suggest the new FCC should readjust its priorities, committing itself to reforming outdated legacy regulations like the current intercarrier compensation/universal service regime that cause all consumers to bear enormous costs supporting uneconomic subsidies and arbitrage opportunities. Once the Commission has completed this task, there will be time enough, in light the then-existing marketplace realities, to determine whether new Internet regulation is warranted.

Despite Rick Whitt's acknowledgment that the "badly flawed" access charge compensation system needs fixing -- and that when it is fixed Google will then be pleased to play by the rules other service providers must play by -- we can be pretty sure that Google is not all that anxious to have the system fixed. It appears much more eager to see the FCC chasing neutrality bugaboos, betting – perhaps wrongly -- that when the dust settles it will remain just outside the edge of the new Internet regulation's reach.

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Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Let's Rally Around Net Neutering

For those of us opposed to Internet regulation under the guise of the "net neutrality" label, admittedly a superficially appealing slogan, it has always seemed to me that we needed to come up with an equally appealing moniker to capture the reality behind the proposed net regulation. For many years, I've thought "net neutering" was a good such banner.

Indeed, I had started to use the term "net neutering" in the 2004-2005 time frame in opposition to the net neutrality forces. At the time, I believe it was the earliest use of the term. In 2005, I published a paper titled, "Net Neutrality and Net Neutering in a Post-Brand X World: Self Regulation, Policy, Principles and Legal Mandates in the Broadband Marketplace." And, when I edited a book with my then-colleague Tom Lenard that was published in 2006, I titled it: "Net Neutrality or Net Neutering: Should Broadband Internet Services Be Regulated?" In 2007, I published a law review titled, "Net Neutrality Mandates: Neutering the First Amendment in the Digital Age."
(The constitutional objection to net neutrality is a whole other story.)


Thus I was pleased to see Holman Jenkins' column in today's Wall Street Journal titled, "Neutering the 'Net,"
in which he explains why FCC Chairman Genachowski's just announced proposal to impose new net neutrality mandates would have the effect of neutering the net.


For many years, I have thought that, in today's digital age, imposing analog-age common carrier-type rules – yes, that is truly what net neutrality mandates are – would have the effect of neutering the net. In other words, such Internet regulation would slow down innovation and investment by removing incentives for Internet service providers to differentiate themselves lest they violate nondiscrimination (neutrality) mandates.


Because there are many sound policy and legal arguments why new common carrier-type regulation should be rejected for the Net, it is not essential to have a sound bite slogan to refute proposals for such regulation. After all, it ought to be the ideas that matter. But I sure think "net neutering" is a good banner around which to rally, one which fairly captures the peril inherent in net neutrality regulation.


Let me know what you think.

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Richard Epstein on Net Neutrality

Richard Epstein, a member of FSF's Board of Academic Advisors, is widely acknowledged to be one of the nation's foremost law and economics scholars. Among many other positions, he is Distinguished Service Professor of Law at the University of Chicago, where he has taught since 1972. His impressive bio is here. Please peruse it.

But more importantly for the moment, please consider carefully the last paragraph (reproduced below) from Professor Epstein's chapter in the Free State Foundation's new book, New Directions in Communications Policy, published by Carolina Academic Press. Richard's chapter is titled, "What Broadcast Licenses Tell Us About Net Neutrality: Cosmopolitan Broadcasting Corporation v FCC." In it, he shows -- brilliantly, as usual – what one piece of the FCC's history of broadcasting regulation teaches us about the perils of net neutrality regulation.

In his summary and conclusion, Professor Epstein explains that we ought to be able to distinguish between regulations that strengthen markets and those that undermine them, but that there is a long-standing pattern of government's failure to do so. The regulators' proclivities to overreach are often driven by a denigration of property rights and systems of voluntary exchange. So here is how he concludes his chapter:

"A similar pattern is at work in the modern debates over net neutrality. The defense of that position starts out as a plea to end discrimination. Yet there is little evidence that the new dose of regulation will produce any gains in the short run. In the long run, we can expect a repetition of the sorry performance of the FCC (or, for that matter, Congress) with respect to broadcast rights to work its way through the law of net neutrality. The sad truth is that the parties who seek to develop sophisticated and sensible schemes for state control quickly lose control over the administrative process to persons whose ambitions for state control are not bound by any fine-grained rationale. The dangers for this predictable drift usually suffice to err on the side of caution. Stated otherwise, the expected rate of depreciation of sound public norms that rely on administrative discretion is high. There are too many pressure points to keep the rascals at bay. So the recommendation here is to follow classical liberal principles that treat all state intervention as a mistake until it is shown to be a good. More practically, and much to the point of the current public policy debate: Keep private control over broadband pipes by abandoning the siren call for net neutrality."

Having in mind even a bit of regulatory history, it is difficult to put more concisely the case against net neutrality mandates that FCC Chairman Genachowski intends to have the FCC impose.

I wish those FCC commissioners considering new Internet regulation would stop for a moment and think about Professor Epstein's warning:

"The sad truth is that the parties who seek to develop sophisticated and sensible schemes for state control quickly lose control over the administrative process to persons whose ambitions for state control are not bound by any fine-grained rationale."

In Dynamic Markets, Potential Competition Matters

Yesterday, FSF President Randolph May and I submitted comments to the FCC in an important forbearance remand proceeding. At stake in the proceeding is the importance of the potential for competition by new entrants in the broadband marketplace when the FCC conducts regulatory forbearance analysis. The FCC has questioned whether or to what extent it should consider potential competition when it weighs petitions for forbearance from regulation. As our comments relate, it is crucial for the FCC to adhere to those precedents in which it has considered both existing and potential competition in the telecommunications marketplace.

FSF advisory board scholars Dr. Dennis L. Weisman and Prof. Glen O. Robinson have aptly described telecommunications as a dynamic industry characterized by rapid innovation and competition, not stasis. The FCC has similarly recognized this dynamism, as we point out in our comments. Unfortunately, the FCC failed to take this dynamic market seriously when it rejected both Verizon's and Qwest's respective forbearance petitions from certain unbundled network element (UNE) regulations.

As explained in the FSF Perspectives piece, "Assessing the FCC’s Competition-Assessing Competence," the D.C. Circuit recently held that the FCC failed to consider the marketplace impact of potential competition in rejecting Verizon's forbearance petition. The D.C. Circuit remanded the case for the FCC to give a reasoned explanation of its decision. It also remanded Qwest’s forbearance case because the FCC had similarly rejected Qwest's forbearance petition without properly considering potential competition. At stake in the remand proceeding is the fate of both forbearance petitions, and (possibly) the continuing role of potential competition in the FCC's forbearance analysis.

Forbearance is an important deregulatory tool that Congress intended the Commission use to keep the fast-evolving telecommunications marketplace free from outdated and burdensome regulations. (For more on that, see the FSF Perspectives piece, "Why Forbearance History Matters.") It's especially important for the FCC to exercise its forbearance powers with respect to a dynamic market, and consideration of potential competition by new entrants or existing rivals is a crucial element in any dynamic market.

The FCC's own precedent concerning UNE regulations includes careful consideration of potential competition as an important force for ensuring improved price and service options for consumers. Our comments to the FCC emphasized that the Commission, especially in such a dynamic market as communications, should carefully examine potential competition and take it into account when conducting a forbearance analysis.

Monday, September 21, 2009

An Immodest Proposal for Internet Regulation

Despite the appealing modesty of FCC's Chairman Julius Genachowski's tone, the Internet regulation proposal unveiled in his speech today at the Brookings Institution is anything but modest. Indeed, the peril lies in its immodesty. It is immodest in the way that those imbued with a certain faith in their good intentions often, in their regulatory zeal, may fail to recognize.

I will be saying much more about the FCC’s proposal in the weeks and months ahead. But here I just want to explain briefly what I mean about the troubling immodesty of Chairman Genachowski's remarks. In order to appreciate what I am saying, please have in mind these two statements from his address: "We cannot know what tomorrow holds on the Internet, except that it will be unexpected." And: “I understand the Internet is a dynamic network and that technology continues to grow and evolve." There are others in a similar vein but these suffice.

Here is some of what makes Genachowski’s proposal so immodest from a regulatory perspective:

While asserting that he cannot know what tomorrow holds for the Internet and that the Internet is a dynamic network that continues to evolve, it is clear that Genachowski nevertheless presumes that all worthwhile innovation takes place at “the edge of the network,” and not within the various broadband networks. This presumption drives his view that that there must be a strict non-discrimination rule – the same type of rule that was at the heart of nineteenth and twentieth century common carrier regulation. Ultimately, this rule means enforcing a strict separation of content and applications from transmission media. This separation precludes any efficiencies and cost-savings and innovation that might result from integration of content, applications, and transmission. What's more, in the digital broadband world of integrated bit streams, such separation of content and applications from transmission necessarily will involve more metaphysical conjecture than sound regulatory policy. On this point, see my piece, "The Metaphysics of VoIP," written back in 2004. The principle is the same.

It may be that, as the Internet evolves in the dynamic way that Genachowski concedes it has without common carrier regulation, separation of content and applications from transmission will prove to be the best business model. Or, more likely, the 'best' business model will change continually over time. But Genachowski presumes to lock a business model in place based on all innovation "at the edge," even while admitting he cannot know what tomorrow holds for the Internet.

He says "this is not about government regulation of the Internet," it is about "fair rules of the road for companies that control access to the Internet." Of course, it is all about government regulation of the Internet, regardless whether he believes the rules or "fair" or not, or whether they are put in terms of "access to the Internet" or some other way. Genachowski surely knows this. But he asserts, soothingly, that "we will do as much as we need to do, and no more, to ensure that the Internet remains an unfettered platform for competition, creativity, and entrepreneurial activity." Nice thought, but not very comforting, despite the good intentions. The history of the FCC shows that the error costs from overregulation – especially in a dynamic environment in which Genachowski concedes we cannot know what tomorrow holds for the Internet – are likely to be exceedingly high. The presumption that the FCC will know the point at which it has regulation "just right" – as much as is needed, but no more -- demonstrates an immodest faith in the prescience of the FCC commissioners that likely would cause Goldilocks to blush.

Despite acknowledging the growth and many successes of the Internet in the past decade, Genachowski asserts at one point that "as American consumers make the shift from dial-up to broadband, their choice of providers has narrowed substantially." It is discouraging that he would make this claim, because it is true only if one does not appreciate the difference between the facilities-based competition that continues to grow in the broadband world and the artificial or "managed" competition that prevailed in analog dial-up world. While the FCC may have created more dial-up "competitors" under its regulated resale mandates, these so-called competitors weren't investing in network facilities and innovating. They were offering what generally were acknowledged to be plain vanilla services. It is true that we would like to see even more robust competition among providers than we have today, even as the competition between wireline, cable, satellite, and wireless providers continues to increase. But to say that consumers had more choices of providers in the dial-up world than now is like comparing a 56Kbs modem – remember? – to a DSL, FiOS or cable broadband connection, or even today's wireless or satellite broadband connections. Apples and oranges, as they say.

Finally, the notion of proposing new Internet regulation in the midst of the FCC's efforts to develop a national broadband plan is immodest as well. With all the emphasis the FCC has placed on gathering data in that proceeding, it would make sense for the agency to finish that job before proposing new rules. After all, if the agency thinks new common carrier-type Internet regulation should be adopted, wouldn't it be advisable to include such a proposal in the broadband report being prepared for Congress before forging ahead?

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

FSF Conference Video Posted

The video from the Free State Foundation's September 10 conference at the National Press Club is now available on the NextGenWeb site here.

The keynote addresses of FCC Commissioner Meredith Baker – her maiden FCC address – and Blair Levin, the Coordinator and Executive Director of the FCC Omnibus Broadband Initiative, deservedly, have garnered much press attention. It's worth emphasizing that the presentations of Professors James Speta, Christopher Yoo, and John Mayo not only were scholarly, as one might expect from these prominent scholars, but they were informative, interesting, and entertaining as well. Looking out into the audience while they were speaking, I was struck – nearly dumbstruck – that the berries, pods, and other assorted handheld devices, had all but disappeared.

Both Jim Speta and Christopher Yoo, in the context of addressing the FCC's decision last year in the Comcast file-sharing case now on review, discussed both procedural and substantive failings in the way the FCC handled the case. While their focus was principally on net neutrality and the agency's decisionmaking process, the cautionary note they sounded concerning the perils of regulatory overreach, and the potential consumer harms from such overreach, has more general applicability as the Commission considers other competition issues. Similarly, John Mayo's discussion of the urgent need for universal service reform, while cogently making that case, does double duty as a basic refresher, for those in need, of some fundamental economic principles.

In other words, the video contains much useful and thought-provoking information, and much for the new FCC to consider as it gets ready to tackle formulating the broadband plan and addressing other communications issues. So, as they invariably say in New York, when they bring your hot pastrami sandwich and pickle: "Enjoy!"

PS: As I said at the conference, there is 20% discount for Free State Foundation friends and family on FSF's new book, New Directions in Communications Policy, published by Carolina Academic Press. In addition to Professors Speta, Yoo, and Mayo, other contributors to the book are: Professors Gerald Brock, Diane Disney, Richard Epstein, Bruce Owen, Glen Robinson, Dennis Weisman, and Steven Wildman. They are all members of FSF's Board of Academic Advisors. The secret code for the discount is COMM20 – but don't spread it around too freely. You can order the book on CAP's website here, or call 800-489-7486.

Monday, September 14, 2009

The Fiction of Forced Access

Adam Thierer, my friend and former colleague, was kind enough to link to my piece, "When Friends Agree to Disagree: Data and Regulatory Philosophy," in a blog on the Technology Liberation site.

Adam has always contributed greatly to the fight against "forced access" regimes in the broadband world, and, as usual, his latest piece, "Fiction of Forced Acccess 'Competition' Revisited", is well worth reading.

Saturday, September 12, 2009

When Friends Agree to Disagree:Data and Regulatory Philosophy

At last Thursday's Free State Foundation conference at the National Press Club, celebrating the release of FSF's new book, New Directions in Communications Policy, there was an exchange between me and Blair Levin concerning the respective roles of data and regulatory philosophy in the development of the broadband plan. As I said in my introduction before his opening keynote: "I am an admirer and respecter of Blair's communications law and policy expertise, his experience, and his dedication. And I consider Blair a good friend." Those of you who have heard me over the years introduce Blair, now the Coordinator of the FCC's national broadband plan efforts, know that when I call him a good friend and say I respect his expertise, I am not just making small talk.

I think Blair will agree – and indeed he said so in his remarks at the conference – that he considered our exchange, now carried on, and perhaps magnified a bit, in the press, valuable in helping to think about the development of a broadband plan that best serves consumers and the overall national interest. You can read the reports about the conference in Communications Daily [subscription required], Broadcasting & Cable, and TR Daily [subscription required] to get a flavor of the exchange.

As background, I had been quoted earlier in Communications Daily as saying that while I thought the broadband workshops had been useful, I would like to see, in addition to the Commission's ongoing emphasis on data-gathering, more focus on what regulatory philosophies or models work best. In my introduction of Blair on Thursday, I said:

"Certainly, the essays in the New Directions book contain considerable data concerning broadband subscription, the number of competitors, the growth in USF funds, and the like. I agree, of course, that it is important for our public policymakers to have good, reliable data as they make decisions – and I bet our opening keynoter, a very key player at the FCC, might make the point that the new Commission is going to be 'data-driven,' and that it needs good data to develop a broadband plan. True enough."

And then I went on to say:

"But the development of sound policy truly does depend on what you do with the data, how you interpret it. Here's an example. Free Press says that prior to the abandonment of the FCC's sharing requirements for the incumbent telcos' lines there were 6000 ISP competitors in the country and now, as a result of deregulation, there are less than a dozen. Well, that is true only if you don't recognize as a matter of regulatory policy the important distinction between facilities-based competition and competition based on regulated resale, and if you don't think it makes any difference whether competition is facilities-based or resale-based. So if you take the 6000 figure at face value and run with it, you would be making a big mistake, in my view, in terms of developing sound policy. Indeed, the development of sound policy depends on having good data and having a good understanding of the economics of network industries and, in the case of communications policy, especially of the dynamic nature of technological change in the marketplace."

During his presentation, which is now posted on the FCC's Blogband website, Blair made several points responsive to my contention concerning the need for some focus on regulatory models and perspectives. I agree with much of what he said. For example, Blair said that if the FCC doesn't get data on who is unserved, where they are, and what it costs to build out a network to serve them, "you are going to get the wrong answer no matter how thoughtful your philosophy." Agreed. He also said it is not the staff's role to focus on regulatory policy, but rather the Commission's. I agree, of course, that it is the Commission's role, ultimately, to establish regulatory policy. But I think it is also the staff's role, with its expertise and the tools available to it, to facilitate the commissioners' understanding of how various regulatory policy and perspectives may impact their decisions. In my view, the broadband workshops would be one appropriate way of doing so, along with others. But I don't disagree with Blair's statement that the fact-finding comes first, during what he called "the early stages of a policy process." After all, he did state that we "will get to that point in the dialogue when philosophy does matter, where different views about the appropriate role of the public sector will be germane to the issues."

Thus, on this matter of the intertwined relationship between "data" and "regulatory philosophy," in reality our differences probably are not that large, especially as Blair agrees that there is a point in the process – before decisions are made – where "philosophy does matter," when the appropriate role of the public sector is germane. (There is a reason why FSF's masthead proclaims "Because Ideas Matter.")

Let me illustrate a couple of instances in which good data certainly matter, and an instance in which regulatory perspectives or philosophy matter, and why in this latter instance being "data driven" in and of itself is insufficient to lead to sound policy.

In my comments filed with FCC on the plan, I urged that the priority should be the targeting of federal support for the deployment of broadband facilities in presently unserved areas. If deploying broadband to unserved areas is a priority, and it should be, it is necessary to have good (which is not the same as perfect) data that indicates which areas presently lack service. Fortunately, through the now prevalent ongoing mapping exercises, to the extent that such data previously was unavailable, it is now quickly becoming ever more so.

With respect to increasing adoption, an objective I consider consistent with the development of a sound broadband plan, having good data is also important in many respects. For example, in my comments I suggested it may be appropriate for the government to subsidize the purchase of computers by low income persons as a means of promoting more widespread adoption. Whether this makes sense or not, or the extent to which it does, depends on having sound data concerning computer ownership by low income households, the number of persons affected, the cost of the computers and the like.

And regarding adoption, there is good data, especially from the Pew Internet and American Life Project, showing that, while there are many non-financial reasons for non-subscription to broadband, for some the principal reason is related to income. FSF Distinguished Adjunct Fellow Deborah Tate, who chaired the Federal-State Joint Board on Universal Service while serving as FCC Commissioner, recently advocated in a Baltimore Sun commentary that the Lifeline/Linkup program be changed to provide support to low income persons for broadband subscriptions. Again, having good data on the extent to which income level correlates with broadband subscription, and the extent to which a particular level of financial aid is likely to correlate with an increase in take rates, is useful in developing sound policy in this regard.

So, these are examples where good data points are necessary if policies designed to increase deployment and adoption are to be implemented in the most effective and efficient way.

Now, consider an instance in which regulatory perspective and philosophy matters a lot. As I said on Thursday, Free Press has suggested in its Dismantling Digital Deregulation paper that at one time there were 6000 Internet Service Providers in the country and that the average American consumer had access to more than a dozen ISPs. As a result of the FCC's abandonment of DSL line sharing and wholesale price regulation policies around 2003-2004, this story line goes, only a handful of the 6000 ISPs remain and consumers no longer, on average, have access to a dozen ISPs. Well, in deciding how to interpret this data, how to process it, here regulatory philosophy matters a lot.

Let's assume for the sake of argument that the 6000 figure for the number of independent ISPs is an indisputable fact. Nevertheless, I would not want the FCC's development of a broadband plan to be "data driven" (in the wrong way) by this particular data point. Rather, I would want commissioners to understand that the 6000 ISPs existed merely at the sufferance of an agency policy of "managed competition" through regulated common carrier resale, and that such a "managed competition" policy does not provide incentives either for the incumbent providers to upgrade their networks or for the so-called "competitors" actually to build out their own network facilities. And I would want them to understand that, in the long run, which is what matters, consumers benefit more from facilities-based competition that supports sustainable competition than from managed resale that does not support sustainable competition.

And here is the key point: In deciding whether to recommend returning to the common carrier/net neutrality/open access regulatory regime advocated by Free Press and others, or whether to adhere to the deregulatory broadband policies the Commission largely adopted five or so years ago, what matters in reaching the right decision is not only knowing the 6000 ISP data point. Rather what matters is having in mind a regulatory philosophy that enables one to understand why this particular data point should not be considered a reason for supporting a common carrier regulation in light of the difference in investment and innovation incentives created by facilities-based and non-facilities-based competition. This is what I mean when I say that, in developing the broadband plan, the commissioners should have in mind a regulatory philosophy.

Commissioner Meredith Baker, who delivered the closing keynote at Thursday's conference, was most eloquent in speaking to the importance of having both good data, what she called "fact-based evidence," as well as a regulatory philosophy grounded in free market principles. In her speech, titled, "Incentives Matter: Decision Making at the FCC," Commissioner Baker said that having "good data is critical," especially with respect to what ought to be the highest priority in broadband policy, "to get broadband to all remaining unserved areas of the country." (As stated above, I fully agree this should be the top priority in the plan.)

As for regulatory principles, Commissioner Baker said she starts "with an assumption that markets work better than government intervention and that competition regulates market behavior more efficiently than regulators can." This is a simple but fundamental "first principle," but not one to which everyone subscribes, certainly not those parties urging the Commission to impose common carrier regulation on broadband ISPs. Commissioner Baker added: "[M]ost importantly, I believe incentives matter. Actions government takes –or doesn't take – affect market behavior and create incentives. I recognize that nearly any regulatory change the Commission makes will disturb the balance of the market—maybe for better, but possibly for worse. Therefore, our decisions must be fact based, fully considered, and reasoned. Good intentions are not enough."

Speaking more specifically about the analytical framework she proposes to use in reaching policy decisions, Commissioner Baker identified these elements: (1) identify objectives when launching proceedings; (2) look to the statute; (3) understand the context of the policy at issue; and (4) weigh the costs and benefits of any decision, including the potential unintended consequences. This last element is critical, because if the wrong balance is struck, "we risk imposing costs and other regulatory burdens on providers." That raises prices, reduces quality of service, and harms innovation, outcomes that "damage consumer welfare and endanger economic growth in the dynamic sector of the economy at a time when we can least afford it."

The upshot is this: The extent to which one starts with a basic assumption that markets work better than government intervention or the other way around is part and parcel of a regulatory philosophy. Whether one embraces cost-benefit analysis, or appreciates the law of unintended consequences, or the principle of "first, do no harm" is part and parcel of a regulatory philosophy. So is the extent to which one accepts, especially in regard to communications markets, the power of Schumpeterian dynamism to change markets, as opposed to embracing a static or snapshot market view. And while it is easy to hypothesize that regulators should "let go" of regulation at just the right time as competition becomes more robust, one's regulatory philosophy influences whether one believes the error costs of waiting too late generally exceed the error costs of deregulating too early. These are but some of the ways in which one's regulatory philosophy is brought to bear on analysis of available data.

In my view, as Commissioner Baker articulated so nicely, a regulatory philosophy grounded in an understanding of free market principles best serves consumers. As I said in my comments to the Commission back in June, the broadband plan should be grounded firmly in such principles.

I am grateful to Blair Levin for his thoughtful and thought-provoking remarks at Thursday's FSF conference. It is true we don't always agree, but we always learn something by listening to each other. As Blair said on Thursday: "One of the nice things about friendship is it does not require agreement." I agree.

And, finally, I am very grateful to Commissioner Baker for delivering her maiden address at the FSF conference, and for doing so after flying back all night from Brazil to do so. Her keynote will repay many times those who read it closely, as I have several times.

PS – I should add that, by all accounts, the presentations of the three scholars – Jim Speta, Christopher Yoo, and John Mayo – were extremely informative and useful. More about these terrific presentations when the transcript is released. In the meantime, you will be able to watch them on the video soon if you missed attending the conference.