Despite the dismal record of
financial performance
by municipal broadband systems, some
municipalities
are moving forward with plans to build new government-run systems. Some proponents of municipal broadband
point to a new report from
Harvard’s Berkman Klein Center claiming that municipal systems are the
“value leaders in America” because they supposedly offer service at lower
prices than those from private providers.
Last month, FSF
Senior Fellow Ted Bolema and I published a Perspectives
from FSF Scholars entitled “A Critical
Assessment of Harvard’s ‘Community-Owned Fiber Networks: Value Leaders in
America’ Study,” in which we pointed out many problems
with the Harvard study. But even setting aside the problems with the dubious
methodology and questionable interpretation of the data from the Harvard study,
municipalities that believe their residents do not have sufficient access to
broadband have better options than government-run broadband. Instead of promoting
municipal broadband projects, local governments should seek to streamline the implementation
of 5G “smart cities,” which will provide vastly superior net economic benefits
to consumers, businesses, and residents.
The Harvard study purports
to find that in 23 out of 27 municipalities with community-provided broadband
the government providers offered lower prices for entry-level broadband
packages than the private providers. In our paper, we explain how the Harvard study’s
data and methodology creates a heavy bias in favor of municipal providers.
But even if a
municipal system can offer lower prices to those who subscribe to its broadband
service, that does not make it a better value for its community than private
broadband. Most municipal providers use taxpayer funds to subsidize the price
of broadband below a profitable level, oftentimes generating massive long-term
debt. That may make the price of the service attractive to potential
subscribers, but the community, including the residents who do not subscribe to
the municipal network, still must pay for the subsidies and the debt used to finance
the project.
We point out that
there are nine municipal projects that were analyzed in both the Harvard study
and a University of
Pennsylvania study
that analyzes the financial viability of municipal broadband projects. Of those
nine overlapping municipal broadband projects, at the end of 2014 four of them
were cash flow negative and four of them were not on pace to be paid off within
the lifetime of a broadband network, which is generally between 30 and 40
years. For example, the municipal provider in Lafayette, LA, LUS Fiber, provides
the greatest cost “savings” over the first four years of service, according to
the Harvard study. But Lafayette residents are on the hook for over $36 million
in debt that is unlikely to be repaid with the current level of cash flows. The
table below shows that municipal networks with the greatest cost “savings” also
generate burdensome long-term public debt.
Results from Markets Found in Both Studies
Municipal Network
|
Cost “Savings” Over Four Years According
to Harvard Study
|
Net Present Value of Municipal Broadband
Project
|
Years until Project Turns Positive
|
Lafayette,
LA
|
$600.00
|
-$36,086,333
|
Never
|
Morristown,
TN
|
$324.12
|
-$4,281,017
|
Never
|
Clarksville,
TN
|
$138.75
|
-$7,442,513
|
Never
|
Monticello,
MN
|
$122.74
|
-$25,508,327
|
Never
|
Pulaski,
TN
|
$237.24
|
$97,948
|
490
|
Brookings,
SD
|
$163.13
|
$290,521
|
349
|
Chattanooga,
TN
|
$107.25
|
$2,062,787
|
412
|
Tullahoma,
TN
|
$19.22
|
$846,549
|
108
|
Bristol,
TN
|
$79.22
|
$4,168,048
|
34
|
The Harvard study
also does not consider all of the dynamic changes in the broadband market. For
example, more people than ever are turning to mobile broadband
as a substitute
for fixed broadband. The future of mobile broadband is 5G wireless technology,
and with at least 10 times faster speeds than 4G, 5G will make mobile broadband
even more competitive with other broadband technologies. Throughout U.S.
cities, mobile broadband providers are deploying small cell infrastructure for
5G wireless technology, which can target municipal areas in the same way that
wireline municipal broadband does, but potentially at a much lower cost.
When 5G wireless technology
is deployed, “smart cities” will be able to enjoy more efficient and effective
use of local government services such as energy, utilities, transportation, and
public safety, saving the cities millions of dollars. For example, smart
lighting automatically will dim public street lights when no pedestrians or
vehicles are present. Public transportation will be able to reduce wait times
by optimizing bus and train schedules with commuter smartphones. High-speed video surveillance will allow first
responders to assess crime scenes and dangerous situations before arriving.
As I discussed in
a January 2017 blog, 5G wireless
technology is projected to create $275 billion in investment, 3 million jobs,
and $500 billion in gross domestic product throughout the United States, which
should be much more attractive to local governments than the financial
instability often created by municipal broadband projects. These projected net
economic benefits of 5G enabled “smart cities” outweigh the net economic costs
of many municipal broadband networks.
Instead of
imposing long-term debt on residents by promoting municipal broadband projects,
local governments should promote 5G small cell deployment. By reducing pole
attachment fees, allowing the use of public rights-of-ways, and accelerating
approval processes, states and municipalities can streamline the deployment of
5G technology in local areas. Not only will this relieve residents from the tax
burden imposed by a municipal network, but it will help implement a
next-generation network which will provide at least the same consumer benefits
as municipal broadband with less financial risk to local governments.