In today's communications market, cross-platform competition is exemplified by fixed wireless access (FWA) broadband services. In the third quarter of 2024, consumer adoption of both FWA continued strong.
According to a report in Light Reading, in the third quarter of 2024, Verizon had 2.67 million FWA subscribers – 1.64 million residences and 1.03 million for businesses. And a report at SDxCentral indicates that AT&T Air gained about 135,000 subscribers to its Internet Air FWA service, for a total of about 500,000. T-Mobile reported gaining 541,000 subscribers to its Home 5G FWA service during the quarter, bringing its reported total to over 6 million.
Further growth is expected. It is reported in Fierce Network that Verizon plans to expand its C-band spectrum to 70% of its planned footprint by the end of this year and to double its FWA footprint to 90 million homes and businesses by 2028. Also, it's reported in Light Reading that New Street Research has predicted T-Mobile will add 1.45 million FWA subscribers next year, Verizon will add 1.3 million, and AT&T will add about 550,000. SDxCentral reported that T-Mobile has a goal of serving 12 million FWA subscribers by the end of 2028, and Verizon has a goal of serving 9 million by 2028.
For the FCC, particularly under its prospective new membership in the second Trump Administration, increasing access to spectrum and ensuring streamlined permitting processes for constructing wireless infrastructure will be keys to realizing the future potential of FWA as a high-quality service and competitive choice for residential broadband subscribers in America.
In July 2024 public comments to the FCC for its forthcoming Communications Marketplace Competition Report, Free State Foundation President May and I wrote:
To further promote competition, innovation, and investment in the broadband marketplace, the Commission should work proactively to make more spectrum available for commercial use and by removing regulatory barriers to broadband deployment… There is particularly strong demand for additional mid-band spectrum. The Commission ought to prioritize the lower 3.1-3.45 GHz band for study and prompt repurposing… Although proposals for repurposing different bands are at different stages of development and each faces unique challenges, the Commission should advance every proposal for spectrum that may realistically be suitable for commercial uses – whether on a licensed or unlicensed basis. A larger spectrum supply will enable more competitors to serve more Americans with next-gen services.
For now, there is no spectrum in the pipeline for commercial services. A priority for the incoming Trump Administration will be to replenish that authority and restore the FCC's authority to conduct spectrum license auctions. Meanwhile, as indicated by an article in Fierce Networks, network densification – including constructing additional cell towers and other infrastructure – may be one way to expand network capacity while mid-band spectrum remains scarce.
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